Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Salford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Salford City.