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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 62.53% ( | 21.06% ( | 16.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( | 45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( | 67.35% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.2% ( | 13.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.88% ( | 41.12% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.42% ( | 40.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.82% ( | 77.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 2-0 @ 10.98% ( 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 3-0 @ 7.25% ( 3-1 @ 6.54% ( 4-0 @ 3.59% ( 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 5-0 @ 1.42% ( 5-1 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 62.52% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.47% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.06% | 0-1 @ 5.05% ( 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0-2 @ 2.28% ( 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 2-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.41% |