Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.