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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Stockport County |
20.02% ( -0.5) | 23.1% ( -0.19) | 56.88% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 51.45% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.9% ( 0.16) | 48.11% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.74% ( 0.15) | 70.27% ( -0.14) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.76% ( -0.42) | 38.25% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25% ( -0.41) | 75.01% ( 0.42) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.32% ( 0.31) | 16.69% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.44% ( 0.54) | 46.57% ( -0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.52% Total : 20.02% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.1% | 0-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.23% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.11% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.05% Total : 56.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Wrexham | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 17 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
6 | Blackpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 15 |
7 | Barnsley | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
9 | Stevenage | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Exeter CityExeter | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Reading | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
15 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 11 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |