Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.88%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.