League One

League One | Gameweek 8

Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
3 - 2
Peterborough

Thor Willumsson (24'), Wallin (49' og.), Bielik (66')
Davies (30'), Dykes (35'), Stansfield (73'), Leonard (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Jade-Jones (4'), Fernandez (16')
Fernandez (29'), Sparkes (33'), Kyprianou (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Birmingham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-2 Peterborough
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Peterborough United
37.93% ( 0.02)	24.43% ( -0.01)	37.64% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 59.86% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.05% (

0.02)

42.95% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.65% (

0.02)

65.35% (

-0.02)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.45% (

0.02)

22.55% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.86% (

0.02)

56.14% (

-0.02)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.3% (

-0)

22.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.64% (

56.36% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 37.93%

Peterborough United 37.64%

Draw 24.42%

Birmingham City	Draw	Peterborough United
2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.93%	1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.42%	1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.64%