Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.