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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 30.2% ( | 25.84% ( | 43.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.07% ( | 50.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.2% ( | 72.8% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% ( | 31.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.65% ( | 67.35% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% ( | 23.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.09% ( | 56.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 2-0 @ 4.9% ( 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 3-0 @ 1.91% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.2% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0-2 @ 7.7% ( 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.06% Total : 43.96% |