League One

League One | Gameweek 10

Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
1 - 0
Birmingham

Godden (54')
Ramsay (7'), Coventry (81'), Campbell (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Anderson (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-2 Charlton
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Birmingham City
29.17% ( -0.67)	25.84% ( 0.05)	45% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 52.48% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.59% (

-0.5)

51.41% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.78% (

-0.44)

73.23% (

0.44)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.97% (

-0.75)

32.03% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.5% (

-0.86)

68.5% (

0.86)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.21% (

0.08)

22.79% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.51% (

0.12)

56.49% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 29.17%

Birmingham City 44.99%

Draw 25.84%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.17%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.99%