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Championship header 2

League Two

Fleetwood Town
League Two | Gameweek 5
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Salford City

Fleetwood
2 - 2
Salford City

Coughlin (33'), Helm (62')
Potter (30'), Bonds (59'), Virtue (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Woodburn (18'), Okoronkko (90+8')
Negru (5'), Robinson (6'), Kouassi (26'), Taylor (28'), N'Mai (55'), Woodburn (68'), Tilt (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Fleetwood Town and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two

Salford City

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, October 26 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawSalford City
42.02% (-0.463 -0.46)26.05% (0.132 0.13)31.93% (0.326 0.33)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.312 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (-0.458 -0.46)51.17% (0.454 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (-0.404 -0.4)73.01% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (-0.434 -0.43)24.13% (0.429 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56% (-0.62 -0.62)58.43% (0.614 0.61)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.96% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)66.08% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 42.01%
    Salford City 31.93%
    Draw 26.04%
Fleetwood TownDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.31% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 42.01%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.156 0.16)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.25% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 3% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.93%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Salford City

Fleetwood Town
59.1%
Draw
22.7%
Salford City
18.2%
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