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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 33.57% ( | 24.94% ( | 41.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.15% ( | 45.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.84% ( | 68.16% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% ( | 26.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.56% ( | 61.44% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% | 22.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.59% ( | 55.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 2-0 @ 5.18% 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.25% Total : 33.58% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 2-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 41.49% |