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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 47.05% ( | 24.97% | 27.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% | 48.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% ( | 70.57% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.37% ( | 20.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.81% ( | 53.18% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% ( | 31.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.26% ( | 67.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.35% 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.67% Total : 47.04% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0-2 @ 4.35% 1-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.98% |