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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bristol Rovers.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 43.7% ( | 26.52% ( | 29.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.16% ( | 53.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.69% ( | 75.3% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( | 24.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.08% ( | 58.92% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% ( | 32.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.59% ( | 69.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% ( 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 4-0 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 43.7% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 2-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.78% |