League One

League One | Gameweek 12

Oct 17, 2024 at 8pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
0 - 2
Exeter

FT(HT: 0-1)

Doyle (9'), Magennis (65')
Sweeney (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Crawley 3-5 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Exeter City
21.69% ( 0.35)	23.87% ( 0.41)	54.44% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 51.48% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.72% (

-1.31)

49.27% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.66% (

-1.19)

71.33% (

1.19)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.78% (

-0.4)

37.22% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.99% (

-0.4)

74% (

0.39)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82% (

-0.76)

17.99% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.14% (

-1.32)

48.85% (

1.32)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 21.69%

Exeter City 54.43%

Draw 23.87%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.68% Total : 21.69%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 5.57% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.43% Total : 54.43%