League One

League One | Gameweek 10

Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
1 - 0
Cambridge

Woods (23')
Yfeko (45+2'), Woods (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Loft (19'), Monk (20'), Andrew (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Cambridge United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Cambridge United
60.58% ( 0.02)	22.34% ( -0.03)	17.09% ( 0)

Both teams to score 48.61% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.78% (

0.11)

49.22% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.72% (

0.1)

71.28% (

-0.1)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.19% (

0.05)

15.81% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.03% (

0.08)

44.97% (

-0.09)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.74% (

0.07)

42.26% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.34% (

0.06)

78.66% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 60.57%

Cambridge United 17.09%

Draw 22.33%

Exeter City	Draw	Cambridge United
1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 60.57%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.33%	0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.09%