League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
3 - 5
Shrewsbury

Swan (33'), Quitirna (62'), Kelley (90+5')
Williams (44'), Flint (53'), Mullarkey (75'), Mukena (90+9')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Marquis (26', 76' pen.), Nsiala (72'), Lloyd (86', 90+2')
Feeney (27'), Ojo (37'), Marquis (43'), Perry (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Crawley 3-4 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-4 Birmingham
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
40.72% ( -0.09)	24.78% ( 0.04)	34.5% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 58.21% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.07% (

-0.16)

44.94% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.71% (

-0.15)

67.29% (

0.16)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96% (

-0.12)

22.04% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.62% (

-0.17)

55.38% (

0.18)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67% (

-0.04)

25.33% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.89% (

-0.06)

60.11% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 40.72%

Shrewsbury Town 34.5%

Draw 24.78%

Crawley Town	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.72%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78%	1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.5%