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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Barnsley |
| 23.9% ( | 23.28% ( | 52.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% ( | 44.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% ( | 66.76% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( | 32.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% ( | 69.01% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( | 16.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.24% ( | 46.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Barnsley |
| 2-1 @ 6.15% ( 1-0 @ 6.13% ( 2-0 @ 3.45% ( 3-1 @ 2.31% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 3-0 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 23.9% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0-2 @ 8.68% ( 1-3 @ 5.81% ( 0-3 @ 5.16% ( 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 1-4 @ 2.59% ( 0-4 @ 2.3% ( 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 1-5 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.82% |