League Two

League Two | Gameweek 14

Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
0 - 1
Cheltenham

Robson (46'), Neal (69'), Mellish (82'), Sadi (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Archer (17')
Stubbs (29'), Young (55'), Payne (90')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Walsall 3-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Cheltenham Town
35.47% ( 0.08)	25.25% ( 0.02)	39.28% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 56.74% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.08% (

-0.09)

46.92% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.83% (

-0.08)

69.17% (

0.08)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.29% (

25.71% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.37% (

0.01)

60.63% (

-0.01)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37% (

-0.09)

23.63% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.28% (

-0.13)

57.72% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 35.47%

Cheltenham Town 39.28%

Draw 25.25%

Carlisle United	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 35.47%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.28%