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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 42.97% ( | 25.52% ( | 31.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% ( | 49.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.86% ( | 71.13% |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( | 22.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.58% ( | 56.42% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.81% ( | 29.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.87% ( | 65.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.97% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 1-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.51% |