League Two

League Two | Gameweek 16

Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
2 - 2
Swindon

Aljofree (16'), Rawson (30')
Woods (77'), Costelloe (90')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Smith (11'), Butterworth (69')
Butterworth (36'), McGregor (53'), Glatzel (59'), Delaney (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Chesterfield 0-3 Accrington
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Swindon
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Swindon Town
30.85% ( 0.32)	24.69% ( -0)	44.46% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 57.17% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.29% (

0.15)

45.71% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.97% (

0.14)

68.03% (

-0.14)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.03% (

0.28)

27.97% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.4% (

0.36)

63.6% (

-0.36)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.36% (

-0.08)

20.64% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.79% (

-0.13)

53.21% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 30.85%

Swindon Town 44.46%

Draw 24.69%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Swindon Town
2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.85%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.69%	1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.46%

How you voted: Accrington vs Swindon

Accrington Stanley

65.4%

Draw

19.2%

Swindon Town

15.4%

Head to Head

Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm

Gameweek 38

Swindon

1-2

Accrington

Drinan (47')
McEachran (30'), Blake-Tracy (59')

Nolan (57' pen.), Henderson (82')
Leigh (14'), Mellor (90')

Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 20

Accrington

3-4

Swindon

Adedoyin (90+2'), Hills (90+7', 90+10')
Bagueloc'rich (6'), McCracken (17'), Conneely (18'), Hills (29'), Longelo-Mbule (33'), Lowe (87')
Coleman (7')

Kemp (17' pen.), Young (31'), Khan (60'), Austin (89')
Kemp (25'), Young (49')

Mar 6, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 34

Accrington

2-1

Swindon

Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')

Pitman (30')

Nov 17, 2020 7pm

Gameweek 9

Swindon

0-3