Accrington Stanley
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Championship header 2

League Two

Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Wham Stadium
Barrow

Accrington
1 - 0
Barrow

Whalley (8')
Coyle (30'), Woods (69'), Awe (81'), Henderson (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Newby (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Barrow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Accrington
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawBarrow
38.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)26.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)35.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.03% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.6% (0.015999999999998 0.02)50.4% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)72.34% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (0.013000000000005 0.01)25.65% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (0.015999999999998 0.02)60.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (0.0019999999999953 0)27.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.78% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 38.44%
    Barrow 35.51%
    Draw 26.04%
Accrington StanleyDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 38.44%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 35.51%

Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Barrow
1-1
Accrington
Whitfield (52')
Wild (3')
Pritchard (71')
Whalley (2'), Martin (44'), Gubbins (47'), Woods (61'), Shipley (87'), Woods (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Accrington
1-1
Barrow
McConville (36')
Hills (71'), Adedoyin (83')
Acauah (87')
Spence (51')
Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Accrington
2-2
Barrow
Bishop (32', 50')
Moonan (73')
Arthur (49'), Banks (72' pen.)
> Preview
Nov 10, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Barrow
0-1
Accrington

Taylor (60'), Ntlhe (62')
Mansell (4')
Barclay (7'), Burgess (79'), Scully (88')