League Two

League Two | Gameweek 16

Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
3 - 2
Cheltenham

Gilbey (22'), Harrison (75'), Maguire (86')
Thompson-Sommers (34')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Young (6'), Miller (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: MK Dons 1-3 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bromley
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Cheltenham Town
44.86% ( -0.55)	24.18% ( -0.02)	30.96% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 58.98% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.65% (

0.39)

43.35% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.25% (

0.38)

65.75% (

-0.38)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.5% (

-0.08)

19.5% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.62% (

-0.13)

51.38% (

0.13)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.27% (

0.57)

26.73% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.01% (

0.74)

61.99% (

-0.74)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 44.86%

Cheltenham Town 30.96%

Draw 24.18%

MK Dons	Draw	Cheltenham Town
2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 44.86%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.18%	1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.96%