League Two Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadium mk
  • Alex Gilbey 22' goal
  • Kane Thompson-Sommers 34' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 75' goal
  • Laurence Maguire 86' goal
  • goal Luke Young 6'
  • goal George Miller 13'

MK Dons vs Cheltenham Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
MK Dons 3 - 1 Swindon
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Alex Gilbey

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
Cheltenham 1 - 1 Bromley
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
George Miller

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result

MK Dons 44.86% (-0.56)
Draw 24.18% (-0.03)
Cheltenham Town 30.96% (+0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.98% (+0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.65% (+0.39)
Under 2.5 43.35% (-0.39)
Over 3.5 34.25% (+0.39)
Under 3.5 65.75% (-0.38)
Over 4.5 17.71% (+0.29)
Under 4.5 82.29% (-0.28)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 80.5% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 19.5% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 48.62% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 51.38% (+0.13)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 73.27% (+0.57)
Under 0.5 26.73% (-0.57)
Over 1.5 38.01% (+0.75)
Under 1.5 61.99% (-0.75)

Score analysis

MK Dons 44.86%
Draw 24.18%
Cheltenham Town 30.96%
MK Dons
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 3.3% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 44.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.06% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.45% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.18%
Cheltenham Town
1-2 @ 7.42% (+0.10)
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.54% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.26% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.67% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2% (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.08% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.96%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Mohamed Eisa 45'+2' goal
  • Mohamed Eisa 59' goal
  • goal Elliott Bonds 12'
  • goal Alfie May 90'+7'
League One Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
EFL Trophy
Aug 30, 2022 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Daniel Oyegoke 7' yellowcard
  • Junior Gyamfi 17' yellowcard
  • Zak Jules 43' goal
  • goal Alfie May 8'
  • yellowcard Charlie Raglan 12'
  • yellowcard Grant Horton 33'
  • yellowcard Dylan Barkers 42'
  • goal Charlie Brown 54'
League One Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Troy Parrott 26' goal
  • Mohamed Eisa 28' goal
  • Troy Parrott 85' goal
  • yellowcard Alfie May 72'
  • goal Will Boyle 89'
League One Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kyle Joseph 14' goal
  • Matt Blair 39' yellowcard
  • Chris Hussey 45' yellowcard
  • Lewis Freestone 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Darling 61'
  • goal Hiram Boateng 87'
  • yellowcard Hiram Boateng 87'
League Two Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2018 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium (Cheltenham, Gloucestershire)
  • Nigel Atangana 14' goal
  • Tyrone Barnett 44' goal
  • Chris Clements 50' yellowcard
  • Chris Clements 86' goal
  • goal Chuks Aneke 22'
  • yellowcard Chuks Aneke 33'
  • yellowcard Ousseynou Cisse 57'