Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.