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Championship header 2

League One

Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Leyton Orient

Northampton
1 - 0
Leyton Orient

McGeehan (48')
Baldwin (55'), Pinnock (84'), Guthrie (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Galbraith (10'), Agyei (35'), James (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 Northampton
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Leyton Orient

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Colchester (3-2 pen.)
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
26.87% (0.029 0.03)25.16% (0.0019999999999989 0)47.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.01% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)49.95% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (0.016999999999999 0.02)71.94% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97% (0.032000000000011 0.03)33.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.38% (0.032 0.03)69.62% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.53% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 26.87%
    Leyton Orient 47.97%
    Draw 25.15%
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 7.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 6.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 26.87%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.46% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.97%

How you voted: Northampton vs Leyton Orient

Northampton Town
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Leyton Orient
42.9%
7
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