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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 29.53% ( | 26.96% ( | 43.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.38% ( | 55.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.22% ( | 76.78% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.04% ( | 33.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.36% ( | 70.64% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% ( | 25.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.84% ( | 60.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-1 @ 2.48% ( 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 3-2 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 29.53% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 2-2 @ 4.73% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0-2 @ 8.11% ( 1-3 @ 4% ( 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0-4 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.51% |