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Championship header 2

League Two

Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Vale Park
Crewe Alexandra

Port Vale
1 - 1
Crewe

Shorrock (3')
Hart (14'), Harper (32'), Croasdale (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lankester (90+2')
Cooney (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-0 Notts County
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawCrewe Alexandra
43.81% (0.137 0.14)26.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)30.18% (-0.129 -0.13)
Both teams to score 52.51% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.37% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)51.63% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.58% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)73.42% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55% (0.054000000000002 0.05)23.45% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.54% (0.076999999999998 0.08)57.46% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (-0.107 -0.11)31.41% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (-0.123 -0.12)67.78% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 43.81%
    Crewe Alexandra 30.19%
    Draw 26.01%
Port ValeDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 43.81%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 30.19%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Crewe

Port Vale
63.9%
Draw
22.2%
Crewe Alexandra
13.9%
72
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Port Vale
1-0
Crewe
Garrity (18')
Shorrock (47'), Lowe (78'), Clark (90+8')

Booth (33'), Cooney (68')
Cooney (90+8')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Port Vale
0-0
Crewe
(Aggregate 0-0 | Port Vale win 2-0 on penalties)
Garrity (28'), Cass (54'), Iacovitti (72'), Devine (84')
Thomas (24'), Williams (29'), Powell (78'), Nevitt (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 41
Port Vale
P-P
Crewe
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crewe
0-1
Port Vale
Taylor (61')
Legge (80'), Brown (93')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 41
Port Vale
1-0
Crewe
Pope (78')
Miller (41'), Montano (77')

Hunt (47'), Porter (74')