League Two

League Two | Gameweek 16

Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
2 - 0
Notts County

Tracey (40'), Cooney (62' pen.)
Holicek (57'), Cooney (64'), Williams (67'), Marshall (71'), Sanders (75'), Tracey (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bedeau (3'), Maynard (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Notts County 1-0 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Notts County
44.05% ( -0.01)	24.23% ( 0)	31.72% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.19% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.75% (

43.25% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.35% (

65.65% (

-0)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.19% (

-0)

19.81% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.12% (

-0)

51.87% (

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8% (

0.01)

26.19% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.71% (

0.01)

61.29% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 44.05%

Notts County 31.72%

Draw 24.23%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 44.05%	1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.23%	1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.72%