FA Cup
Nov 1, 2024 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Matthew Platt 16' goal
  • Kellan Gordon 42' yellowcard
  • Alassana Jatta 48' goal
  • Alassana Jatta 62' goal
  • Matt Palmer 74' yellowcard
  • Jevani Brown 85' goal
  • Jevani Brown 90' goal
  • yellowcard Billy Whitehouse 11'
  • goal Liam Waldock 14'
  • yellowcard George Cantrill 83'

Notts County vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Alfreton Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 58.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result

Notts County 58.76% (-0.22)
Draw 21.68% (+0.11)
Alfreton Town 19.56% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.29% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.38% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 42.62% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 34.98% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 65.02% (+0.30)
Over 4.5 18.25% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 81.75% (+0.22)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 85.81% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 14.19% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 58.11% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 41.89% (+0.33)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 64.43% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 35.56% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 27.67% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 72.33% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Notts County 58.76%
Draw 21.68%
Alfreton Town 19.56%
Notts County
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.85% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 9.62% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.26% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.16% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.06% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 58.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.18% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.05% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.68%
Alfreton Town
1-2 @ 5.27% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.22% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.7% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.81% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 19.56%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 9, 2024 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • J. Abbey 42' goal
  • A. Salam 59' goal
  • goal Trialist A 52'
  • goal Max Hunt 62' (OG)