Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
0 - 0
Hereford


Moyo (29'), Newall (90+4')
FT

D'Ath (21'), Rose (73'), Ceesay (85'), Rooney (90+3')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-1 Alfreton
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 3-2 Hereford
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawHereford United
42.41% (0.244 0.24)25.95% (-0.148 -0.15)31.63% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.33% (0.439 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.13% (0.583 0.58)50.87% (-0.58 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.25% (0.51 0.51)72.75% (-0.506 -0.51)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2% (0.381 0.38)23.8% (-0.376 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.04% (0.541 0.54)57.96% (-0.538 -0.54)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.98% (0.23099999999999 0.23)30.02% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86% (0.275 0.27)66.14% (-0.273 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 42.41%
    Hereford United 31.63%
    Draw 25.95%
Alfreton TownDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 42.41%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.6% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 31.63%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Hereford
3-3
Alfreton
Cowley (9'), Babos (63'), Skinner (90+5')
Day (15'), Fewster (30'), Digie (35')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Alfreton
3-1
Hereford
Thewlis (65' pen., 73' pen.), Day (89')
Babos (54')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Hereford
0-0
Alfreton
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Alfreton
1-1
Hereford
Hobson (7')
McLean (24')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Hereford
1-2
Alfreton
Lloyd (80')
Hobson (20'), Ceesay (45+2')