National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Jed Abbey 43' goal
  • David Moyo 55' goal
  • Liam Waldock 57' yellowcard
  • Max Hunt 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Woodthorpe 25'
  • goal Kurt Willoughby 36'
  • goal Charlie Caton 72'
  • yellowcard Declan Weeks 85'
  • yellowcard Kevin Roberts 90'+4'

Alfreton Town vs Chester FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
Leamington 2 - 2 Alfreton
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lewis Salmon

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
Chester 2 - 0 Radcliffe
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Tom Peers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Alfreton Town 37.43% (-0.04)
Draw 27.17% (+0.19)
Chester FC 35.39% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.33% (-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.92% (-0.76)
Under 2.5 55.08% (+0.76)
Over 3.5 23.66% (-0.63)
Under 3.5 76.33% (+0.63)
Over 4.5 10.52% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 89.48% (+0.39)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.56% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 28.43% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 35.81% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 64.19% (+0.49)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 70.33% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 29.66% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 34.28% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 65.71% (+0.57)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 37.42%
Draw 27.17%
Chester FC 35.39%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 10.6% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.67% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.89% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.43% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.17%
Chester FC
0-1 @ 10.24% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 6.23% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 35.39%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • goal Kennedy Digie 36'
  • goal Kennedy Digie 66'
National League North Gameweek 20
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Liam Edwards 23' goal
  • goal Declan Weeks 12'
National League North Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Anthony Dudley 90'+4' goal
  • goal Dayle Southwell 39'
National League North Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Impact Arena
  • Tom Denton 28' goal
  • Tom Denton 90'+2' goal
  • goal Kurt Willoughby 16'
  • goal Joe Lynch 23'
National League North Gameweek 40
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2021 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • James Hardy 30' goal
  • Danny Livesey 72' redcard
  • Declan Weeks 81' goal
  • Dan Cowan 90'+2' goal
  • goal Matt Rhead 80'
  • goal Matt Rhead 88'