National League North | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Phillips 66 Community Stadium
Alfreton Town

Leamington
2 - 2
Alfreton

Ward (59'), Lynn (85')
Meredith (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moyo (50'), Abbey (90+5')
Cantrill (33')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Leamington FC and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leamington FC

All competitions
Last Game: Leamington 3-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League North

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 King's Lynn
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Leamington FCDrawAlfreton Town
38.76% (-2.809 -2.81)27.43% (-0.07 -0.07)33.8% (2.878 2.88)
Both teams to score 49.32% (1.015 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.74% (0.905 0.91)56.26% (-0.906 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.7% (0.726 0.73)77.3% (-0.72699999999999 -0.73)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (-1.136 -1.14)28.22% (1.136 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (-1.459 -1.46)63.93% (1.459 1.46)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72% (2.463 2.46)31.28% (-2.463 -2.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37% (2.766 2.77)67.63% (-2.767 -2.77)
Score Analysis
    Leamington FC 38.76%
    Alfreton Town 33.8%
    Draw 27.42%
Leamington FCDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.77 -0.77)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-0 @ 7.06% (-0.732 -0.73)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.415 -0.42)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.17 0.17)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.497 0.5)
0-2 @ 5.96% (0.568 0.57)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.371 0.37)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.357 0.36)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.8%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Alfreton
2-0
Leamington
Hobson (56'), Rhead (75')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Leamington
1-2
Alfreton
Usher-Shipway (13')
Riley (51'), Hobson (70')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leamington
1-2
Alfreton
Turner (75' pen.)
Branson (44'), Lane (64' og.)
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Alfreton
1-0
Leamington
Hobson (73')
Mar 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Alfreton
P-P
Leamington