National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Danny Lloyd 26' goal
  • Danny Philliskirk 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Hudson 23'
  • yellowcard Lawson D'Ath 72'
  • goal Alex Babos 77'
  • goal Alex Babos 89'
  • goal Andrew Williams 90'+3'

Southport vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
Spennymoor 2 - 0 Southport
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Danny Lloyd

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
Hereford 1 - 1 P'boro Sports
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Yusifu Ceesay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Southport had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result

Southport 35.36% (-0.01)
Draw 26.26% (-0.05)
Hereford United 38.39% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.29% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.66% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 51.34% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 26.84% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 73.16% (-0.17)
Over 4.5 12.54% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 87.46% (-0.11)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5 72.13% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 27.87% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 36.52% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 63.48% (-0.11)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 73.88% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 26.12% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 38.82% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 61.18% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Southport 35.36%
Draw 26.25%
Hereford United 38.39%
Southport
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.98% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.94% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 35.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.28% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.35% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
Hereford United
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.38% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.56% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.94% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 38.39%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 36
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Danny Lloyd 60' redcard
  • Markus Carver 90'+2' goal
  • goal Paul Downing 43'
  • goal Kieran Phillips 90'
National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • goal Markus Carver 57'
National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • goal Jack Holmes 50'
National League North Gameweek 17
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Tyrone Barnett 79' goal
  • Daniel Jarvis 90'+4' goal
National League North Gameweek 29
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Charlie Oliver 51'
National League North Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordan Archer 52' goal
  • Connor Woods 85' goal