Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Southport had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Southport	Draw	Hereford United
35.36% ( -0.01)	26.26% ( -0.04)	38.39% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 53.29% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.66% (

0.18)

51.34% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.84% (

0.16)

73.16% (

-0.16)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.13% (

0.08)

27.87% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.52% (

0.11)

63.48% (

-0.11)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.88% (

0.11)

26.12% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.82% (

0.15)

61.18% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Southport 35.36%

Hereford United 38.39%

Draw 26.25%

Southport	Draw	Hereford United
1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.36%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.39%