Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
1 - 1
Hereford

Blakeman (29')
Horbury (68'), Henley (83'), Blakeman (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rose (79')
Robinson (89'), Gibson (90+4')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-1 Chorley
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Hereford 3-0 South Shields
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
ChorleyDrawHereford United
32.25% (-0.338 -0.34)25.87% (0.02 0.02)41.88% (0.315 0.31)
Both teams to score 53.84% (-0.185 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (-0.188 -0.19)50.3% (0.186 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (-0.166 -0.17)72.25% (0.16500000000001 0.17)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (-0.315 -0.31)29.32% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (-0.387 -0.39)65.29% (0.38600000000001 0.39)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18% (0.075000000000003 0.08)23.82% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01% (0.11199999999999 0.11)57.99% (-0.112 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 32.25%
    Hereford United 41.87%
    Draw 25.87%
ChorleyDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 32.25%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 10.01% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.029000000000002 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.19% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.22% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 41.87%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Hereford
0-1
Chorley
Hazlehurst (16')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Chorley
1-2
Hereford
Sampson (79')
Tolley (55'), Babos (75')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Chorley
2-0
Hereford
Ustabasi (51'), Hall (53')
Dec 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Hereford
1-1
Chorley
Rus (62')
Smith (90+3')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Chorley
3-2
Hereford
Blakeman (58'), Holmes (65'), Hall (70')
Gordon (14'), Storey (89')
rhs 2.0


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