Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Spalding United had a probability of 17.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Spalding United win it was 1-2 (4.73%).

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Spalding United
62.36% ( 0.35)	20.51% ( 0.02)	17.13% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 54.65% (

-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.77% (

-0.73)

41.23% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.37% (

-0.75)

63.63% (

0.75)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.33% (

-0.13)

12.67% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.16% (

-0.26)

38.84% (

0.26)

Spalding United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.57% (

-0.87)

37.43% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.79% (

-0.86)

74.21% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 62.36%

Spalding United 17.13%

Draw 20.51%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Spalding United
2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.49% Total : 62.36%	1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.51%	1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.3% Total : 17.13%