Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.