National League North Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Bloomfields
  • Seth Chambers 54' yellowcard
  • goal Jed Abbey 51'
  • yellowcard Harry Perritt 56'
  • goal Jed Abbey 63'

Needham Market vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Needham Market

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
Radcliffe 1 - 1 Needham Market
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Luke Ingram

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
Alfreton 2 - 2 Chester
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lewis Salmon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result

Needham Market 33.28% (-0.15)
Draw 26.22% (-0.03)
Alfreton Town 40.49% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.01% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.48% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 51.52% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 26.68% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 73.32% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 12.44% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 87.56% (-0.05)

Needham Market Goals

Over 0.5 70.75% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 29.25% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 34.79% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 65.2% (+0.07)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.93% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 25.07% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 40.25% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 59.75% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Needham Market 33.28%
Draw 26.22%
Alfreton Town 40.49%
Needham Market
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 33.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.3% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (-98.90)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
Alfreton Town
0-1 @ 10.14% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.63% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.02% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.98% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.24% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.45% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.38% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 40.49%