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FA Cup | First Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
DCJ Group Insurance Arena

Matlock Town
0 - 1
Spalding

FT
(aet)
Winters (95')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying Replays clash between Matlock Town and Spalding United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Matlock Town

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Last Game: Spalding 0-0 Matlock Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Spalding United

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Last Game: Spalding 0-0 Matlock Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spalding United win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Matlock Town has a probability of 36.13% and a draw has a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spalding United win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Matlock Town win is 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.9%).

Result
Matlock TownDrawSpalding United
36.13% (-2.725 -2.73)22.86% (0.561 0.56)41.01% (2.166 2.17)
Both teams to score 65.73% (-2.471 -2.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.73% (-3.108 -3.11)35.27% (3.109 3.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.71% (-3.535 -3.54)57.29% (3.537 3.54)
Matlock Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (-2.604 -2.6)20.02% (2.605 2.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.78% (-4.366 -4.37)52.21% (4.367 4.37)
Spalding United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.18% (-0.39999999999999 -0.4)17.82% (0.401 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.44% (-0.696 -0.7)48.55% (0.697 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Matlock Town 36.13%
    Spalding United 41.01%
    Draw 22.86%
Matlock TownDrawSpalding United
2-1 @ 7.96% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-0 @ 5.74% (0.436 0.44)
2-0 @ 4.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.45 -0.45)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.442 -0.44)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.226 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.345 -0.35)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.322 -0.32)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 36.13%
1-1 @ 9.9% (0.631 0.63)
2-2 @ 6.87% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-0 @ 3.57% (0.534 0.53)
3-3 @ 2.12% (-0.285 -0.29)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.439 0.44)
0-1 @ 6.15% (0.852 0.85)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.675 0.68)
1-3 @ 4.91% (0.191 0.19)
2-3 @ 3.95% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.353 0.35)
1-4 @ 2.12% (0.055 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.7% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.137 0.14)
3-4 @ 0.91% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 41.01%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
First Round Qualifying
Spalding
0-0
Matlock Town