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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sir Halley Stewart Field

Spalding
0 - 0
Matlock Town

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Spalding United and Matlock Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spalding United

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Last Game: Spalding 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Matlock Town

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Last Game: Matlock Town 0-3 Mansfield
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spalding United win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Matlock Town had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spalding United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.37%) and 1-0 (5.18%). The likeliest Matlock Town win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Spalding UnitedDrawMatlock Town
43.55% (0.094999999999999 0.09)21.77% (-0.02 -0.02)34.67% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 69.62% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.92% (0.076999999999998 0.08)30.08% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.71% (0.093000000000004 0.09)51.29% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Spalding United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.27% (0.061999999999998 0.06)14.73% (-0.065 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.06% (0.123 0.12)42.94% (-0.125 -0.13)
Matlock Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.65%18.35% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)49.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Spalding United 43.55%
    Matlock Town 34.67%
    Draw 21.77%
Spalding UnitedDrawMatlock Town
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.55% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.18% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.23% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 43.55%
1-1 @ 8.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 7.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.77%
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.71%
3-4 @ 1.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.67%