Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 8
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
1 - 1
Scarborough Ath

Fewster (45')
Waldock (51'), Cantrill (75'), Newall (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maltby (79')
Bennett (19'), Brown (45'), Tear (58')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Scarborough Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Darlington 0-0 Alfreton
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League North

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-0 King's Lynn
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawScarborough Athletic
46.79% (0.136 0.14)25.33% (-0.073 -0.07)27.87% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 53.22% (0.179 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (0.254 0.25)50.04% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (0.226 0.23)72.02% (-0.229 -0.23)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (0.16499999999999 0.16)21.4% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61% (0.255 0.25)54.39% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (0.082999999999998 0.08)32.29% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (0.094999999999999 0.09)68.79% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 46.79%
    Scarborough Athletic 27.87%
    Draw 25.33%
Alfreton TownDrawScarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 46.79%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 27.87%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 46
Scarborough Ath
0-1
Alfreton
Brisley (23')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Alfreton
1-3
Scarborough Ath
Day (41')
Mulhern (36'), Green (39'), Colville (66')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Scarborough Ath
2-0
Alfreton
Coulson (79' pen.), Colville (85')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Alfreton
2-0
Scarborough Ath
Smith (53'), Cantrill (60')