Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
2 - 1
Farsley Celtic

Hunt (76'), Abbey (90+5')
Lund (32'), Willis (83'), Cantrill (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Allan (26')
Merveil Ombang (38'), Sloane (65')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Farsley Celtic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Needham Market 0-2 Alfreton
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League North

Farsley Celtic

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-2 Farsley Celtic
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 22.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawFarsley Celtic
53.45% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)24.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.24% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)50.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (-0.012 -0.01)72.37% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19% (-0.012 -0.01)18.81% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)50.23% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)37.34% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.12% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 53.45%
    Farsley Celtic 22.24%
    Draw 24.3%
Alfreton TownDrawFarsley Celtic
1-0 @ 11.73%
2-0 @ 9.8% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 53.45%
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.41% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.56%
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 22.24%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Farsley Celtic
2-3
Alfreton
Atkinson (45+5' pen.), Atkinson (62')
Day (23'), Waldock (29'), Lund (55')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Alfreton
2-0
Farsley Celtic
Thewlis (3'), Day (7')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Alfreton
1-0
Farsley Celtic
Riley (83')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Farsley Celtic
0-0
Alfreton
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Alfreton
0-0
Farsley Celtic