National League North | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
3 - 2
Scarborough Ath

Caton (9', 20'), Willoughby (90+2')
Hunter (33')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tear (5'), Mulhern (77')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Scarborough Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-2 Chester
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-1 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawScarborough Athletic
41.36% (-0.243 -0.24)27.49% (0.044 0.04)31.15% (0.197 0.2)
Both teams to score 48.44% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.96% (-0.116 -0.12)57.04% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.07% (-0.093 -0.09)77.93% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)27.14% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46% (-0.242 -0.24)62.53% (0.24 0.24)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (0.082000000000008 0.08)33.51% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (0.089000000000002 0.09)70.15% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 41.36%
    Scarborough Athletic 31.15%
    Draw 27.48%
Chester FCDrawScarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 11.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 41.36%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.15%

Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 33
Chester
3-0
Scarborough Ath
Whitehouse (9' pen.), Glendon (67'), Peers (90+4')

Thornton (88')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Scarborough Ath
1-0
Chester
Maloney (90+4')

Burke (90+6')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Chester
2-2
Scarborough Ath
Willoughby (14'), Caton (87')
Weledji (76'), Thornton (90+3')
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Scarborough Ath
1-3
Chester
R (68')
Hall (50'), Caton (62'), Willoughby (90')