Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Scarborough Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.