National League North | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
0 - 1
Needham Market

FT(HT: 0-1)
McGrath (38')
Cullum (90+5')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Needham Market.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-2 Needham Market
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Needham Market had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Needham Market win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawNeedham Market
53.61% (0.275 0.27)24.29% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)22.1% (-0.199 -0.2)
Both teams to score 50.74% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.46% (0.091000000000001 0.09)50.54% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.54% (0.081 0.08)72.46% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (0.142 0.14)18.78% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.81% (0.234 0.23)50.19% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Needham Market Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47% (-0.13999999999999 -0.14)37.53% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69% (-0.137 -0.14)74.31% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 53.6%
    Needham Market 22.1%
    Draw 24.29%
Hereford UnitedDrawNeedham Market
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 53.6%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.91% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 22.1%

How you voted: Hereford vs Needham Market

Hereford United
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Needham Market
0.0%
8