National League North | Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cantilever Park

Warrington Town
1 - 2
Needham Market

Gumbs (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Allen (4'), Dye (45+1')
Morphew (54')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Warrington Town and Needham Market.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Needham Market win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Needham Market win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Needham Market would win this match.

Result
Warrington TownDrawNeedham Market
32.92% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)25.27% (-0.038 -0.04)41.81% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 56.08% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (0.14100000000001 0.14)47.5% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (0.13 0.13)69.71% (-0.134 -0.13)
Warrington Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (0.012 0.01)27.51% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (0.016999999999996 0.02)63.02% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Needham Market Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.37% (0.11800000000001 0.12)22.62% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (0.18 0.18)56.25% (-0.183 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Warrington Town 32.92%
    Needham Market 41.81%
    Draw 25.26%
Warrington TownDrawNeedham Market
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 32.92%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.87% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.41% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 41.81%