National League North | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
3 - 3
Radcliffe

Skinner (20'), Smith (44' og.), Campbell (85')
D'Ath (26'), Robinson (33'), Teixeira (53')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Morgan (8'), Roscoe (15'), Hancock (58')
Oyibo (64')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Radcliffe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-4 Hereford
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North

Radcliffe

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Radcliffe 1-1 Needham Market
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 50.71%. A win for Radcliffe had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Radcliffe win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawRadcliffe
50.71% (-0.373 -0.37)24.05% (0.154 0.15)25.24% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 55.07% (-0.299 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46% (-0.494 -0.49)46.53% (0.49 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (-0.468 -0.47)68.81% (0.461 0.46)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (-0.333 -0.33)18.38% (0.327 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.49% (-0.563 -0.56)49.51% (0.556 0.56)
Radcliffe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.48% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)32.52% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.95% (-0.104 -0.1)69.05% (0.097000000000008 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 50.71%
    Radcliffe 25.24%
    Draw 24.05%
Hereford UnitedDrawRadcliffe
1-0 @ 10.12% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.71%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.122 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.122 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 25.24%