National League North | Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park

Brackley Town
1 - 2
Hereford

Lowe (45+2')
Roberts (48'), Bates (52'), Lilley (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Babos (40'), Campbell (90+4')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Brackley TownDrawHereford United
39.26% (0.026000000000003 0.03)27.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)33.54% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.99% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.61% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)55.4% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.4% (-0.026 -0.03)76.6% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47%27.53% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96%63.04% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)31.02% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)67.33% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 39.26%
    Hereford United 33.54%
    Draw 27.2%
Brackley TownDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 39.26%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.54% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 10% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.54%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
Brackley Town
2-0
Hereford
Roberts (12'), Lilley (82')
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Hereford
1-0
Brackley Town
Ceesay (6')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 43
Hereford
2-2
Brackley Town
Lloyd (24', 40')
Stead (7'), Smart (56')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Brackley Town
2-1
Hereford
Stead (38'), Matwasa (46')
Evans (90+1')
May 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Hereford
2-2
Brackley Town
Haines (77'), Hodgkiss (89')
Haines (3' og.), Gordon (32')
rhs 2.0


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