National League North | Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park

Brackley Town
4 - 0
Curzon Ashton

Pollock (2'), Newton (13' pen.), Roberts (42'), Lowe (68')
O'Sullivan (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Spencer (73'), Griffiths (90+4')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Brackley TownDrawCurzon Ashton
31.81% (-0.087 -0.09)27.61% (0.121 0.12)40.58% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.32% (-0.377 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.7% (-0.465 -0.47)57.3% (0.467 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.86% (-0.371 -0.37)78.14% (0.373 0.37)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (-0.301 -0.3)33.18% (0.304 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (-0.336 -0.34)69.78% (0.33800000000001 0.34)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (-0.236 -0.24)27.69% (0.239 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (-0.305 -0.31)63.25% (0.308 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 31.8%
    Curzon Ashton 40.57%
    Draw 27.6%
Brackley TownDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.59% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.8%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.19% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 11.79% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.57% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.57%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Brackley Town
0-2
Curzon Ashton
Mahon (4' pen.), Spencer (28')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Curzon Ashton
3-1
Brackley Town
Spencer (14'), Campbell (57', 72')
Armson (56')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0


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