Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.