Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Spennymoor Town	Draw	Brackley Town
35.88% ( 0.22)	26.59% ( -0.03)	37.53% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 52.22% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.29% (

0.13)

52.71% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.65% (

0.11)

74.35% (

-0.1)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.78% (

0.19)

28.22% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.08% (

0.24)

63.92% (

-0.24)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.75% (

-0.05)

27.25% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.33% (

-0.06)

62.67% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Spennymoor Town 35.88%

Brackley Town 37.53%

Draw 26.59%

Spennymoor Town	Draw	Brackley Town
1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.88%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 10% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.53%