Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 66.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Ilkeston had a probability of 14.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Ilkeston win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.