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FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
1 - 1
Ilkeston

Ceesay (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Hereford United and Ilkeston.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North

Ilkeston

All competitions
Last Game: Heanor Town 0-1 Ilkeston
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 66.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Ilkeston had a probability of 14.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Ilkeston win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawIlkeston
66.14% (0.041000000000011 0.04)19.06% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)14.8% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.25% (0.092000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.91% (0.13 0.13)39.09% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.58% (0.135 0.13)61.42% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.99% (0.048000000000002 0.05)11% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.71% (0.10499999999999 0.1)35.28% (-0.105 -0.1)
Ilkeston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.96% (0.067999999999998 0.07)39.04% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.24% (0.065000000000001 0.07)75.76% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 66.14%
    Ilkeston 14.8%
    Draw 19.06%
Hereford UnitedDrawIlkeston
2-0 @ 10.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.25% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 4% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 66.14%
1-1 @ 8.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.06%
1-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.9% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 14.8%