FA Cup
Oct 12, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Liam Waldock 74' goal
  • goal 16'

Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions

Spennymoor Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.

Result

Alfreton Town 50.42%
Draw 24.89% (-0.01)
Spennymoor Town 24.69% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.86% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.48% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 50.52% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 27.56% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 72.44%
Over 4.5 13.02% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.98%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 79.96% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 20.04% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 47.74% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 52.25%

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5 64.86% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.14%
Over 1.5 28.1% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 71.89% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 50.42%
Draw 24.88%
Spennymoor Town 24.69%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 9.1%
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.96%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 50.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 24.88%
Spennymoor Town
0-1 @ 7.37%
1-2 @ 6.19% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.74% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 24.69%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 45
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • James Oliver 12' goal
  • Jake Day 38' goal
  • goal Glen Taylor 76'
National League North Gameweek 16
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Brewery Field
  • Will Harris 42' goal
  • Danny Greenfield 60' goal
  • goal Dwayne Riley 8'
National League North Gameweek 24
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Dwayne Riley 2' goal
  • Matt Rhead 13' goal
  • Dominic Smith 28' goal
  • goal Paul Blackett 23'
  • goal Paul Blackett 69'
National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Brewery Field
  • redcard Conor Branson 23'
National League North Gameweek 24
Jan 29, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Conor Branson 40' goal
  • Ritchie Sutton 43' goal
  • Matt Rhead 58' goal
  • goal Frank Mulhern 19'
  • goal Glen Taylor 67'
National League North Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Yusifu Ceesay 41'
  • goal Bailey Hobson 69'