Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Spennymoor Town
50.42%	24.89% ( -0)	24.69% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.86% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.48% (

50.52% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.56% (

72.44%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.96% (

20.04% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.74% (

52.25%

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.86% (

35.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.1% (

71.89% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 50.42%

Spennymoor Town 24.69%

Draw 24.88%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Spennymoor Town
1-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 9.1% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.77% Total : 50.42%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.88%	0-1 @ 7.37% 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.04% Total : 24.69%