Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radcliffe win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radcliffe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.