FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Carlsberg Stadium
Biggleswade Town0 - 6Alfreton
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Biggleswade Town and Alfreton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bowers & Pitsea 1-2 Biggleswade Town
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Biggleswade Town had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Biggleswade Town win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Biggleswade Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
17.45% ( 0.38) | 21.26% ( 0.28) | 61.3% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.96% ( -0.59) | 44.04% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.57% ( -0.58) | 66.42% ( 0.58) |
| Biggleswade Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.26% ( 0.09) | 38.74% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.52% ( 0.09) | 75.48% ( -0.09) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.13% ( -0.38) | 13.87% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.74% ( -0.77) | 41.26% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
Biggleswade Town 17.45%
Alfreton Town 61.29%
Draw 21.25%
| Biggleswade Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 17.45% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.25% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.48% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 6.9% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 6.55% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 3.41% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 3.23% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.9% Total : 61.29% |
How you voted: Biggleswade Town vs Alfreton
Biggleswade Town
37.5%Draw
18.8%Alfreton Town
43.8%16
