Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
Chorley

Alfreton
1 - 0
Chorley

Waldock (90')
Lund (45'), Cantrill (65'), Waldock (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Calveley (60')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Spennymoor
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Chorley 1-0 Needham Market
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawChorley
38.31% (1.034 1.03)27.89% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)33.8% (-0.968 -0.97)
Both teams to score 47.95% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.02% (0.157 0.16)57.98% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.32% (0.123 0.12)78.68% (-0.126 -0.13)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (0.69500000000001 0.7)29.32% (-0.698 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (0.846 0.85)65.29% (-0.849 -0.85)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84% (-0.559 -0.56)32.16% (0.557 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.36% (-0.64 -0.64)68.64% (0.637 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 38.31%
    Chorley 33.79%
    Draw 27.89%
Alfreton TownDrawChorley
1-0 @ 11.56% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.05% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.119 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.148 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 13.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.43% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 10.69% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 33.79%

Head to Head
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Chorley
3-2
Alfreton
Smith (34'), Hazlehurst (44'), Ubaezuonu (77')
Blakeman (18' og.), Perritt (48')
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Alfreton
2-0
Chorley
Cantrill (35'), Waldock (58')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Chorley
0-0
Alfreton
Aug 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Alfreton
0-2
Chorley
Ustabasi (77'), Shenton (89')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Chorley
1-2
Alfreton
Blyth (27' pen.)
Ceesay (51'), Hobson (63')