National League North
Gameweek
12
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-
Adam Lund
45'
-
George Cantrill
65'
-
Liam Waldock
79'
-
Liam Waldock
90'
-
Mike Calveley
60'
Alfreton Town vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.
Result
Alfreton Town
38.31%
▲
(+1.04)
Draw
27.89%
▼
(-0.07)
Chorley
33.8%
▼
(-0.97)
Both Teams to Score:
47.95%
▲
(+0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.02%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 2.5
57.98%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 3.5
21.32%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
78.68%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 4.5
9.11%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
90.89%
▼
(-0.08)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5
70.68%
▲
(+0.70)
Under 0.5
29.32%
▼
(-0.70)
Over 1.5
34.71%
▲
(+0.85)
Under 1.5
65.29%
▼
(-0.85)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5
67.84%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 0.5
32.16%
▲
(+0.56)
Over 1.5
31.36%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 1.5
68.64%
▲
(+0.64)
Score analysis
Alfreton Town
38.31%
Draw
27.89%
Chorley
33.79%
Alfreton Town
1-0
@
11.56%
▲
(+0.16)
2-1 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-94.49)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 38.31%
2-1 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-94.49)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 38.31%
Draw
1-1
@
13.12%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.89%
0-0 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.89%
Chorley
0-1
@
10.69%
▼
(-0.24)
1-2 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.23)
1-3 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 33.79%
1-2 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.23)
1-3 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 33.79%